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Business News for People Who Don't Read Business News

Because What Else Can You Do But Drink, Smoke and Screw?

By Robert Wilonsky, Tuesday, Oct. 28 2008 @ 10:27AM
Comments (4)
Categories: Business News for People Who Don't Read Business News

Newsweek this week follows in the footsteps of U.S. News & World Report and suggests the last sure bet in this crap economy is sin. Or vice, as Newsweek puts it -- specifically, the Dallas-based Vice Fund, which proudly "invests in companies, both domestic and foreign, engaged in the aerospace and defense industries, owners and operators, gaming facilities as well as manufacturers of gaming equipment, manufactures of tobacco products and producers of alcoholic beverages."

Things to keep in mind: Booze is good for Texas business, though sales are down. RJ Reynolds stock is still in the mid-40s. And condom sales aren't exactly flaccid. Every day is now officially Friday night. --Robert Wilonsky

Comments (4) Write Comment
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Comments (4)

Trey Garrison says:


Um, did the writer even look at the Vice Fund's track record?

Best 3 Month Period
June - August 2003
VICEX
21.72%

Worst 3 Month Period
July - September 2008
VICEX
(14.10%)

2004 and 2006 were the fund's best years (+24.37% and +23.15% respectively).

2008 has been the worst in five so far -- -26.85%

There's a place for this kind of strategergy, but Newsweek and US News are not places to look for even basic investment information.

(Disclosure: I'm invested in VICEX)

Posted On: Tuesday, Oct. 28 2008 @ 11:11AM
Robert Wilonsky says:

Trey, I think this is the part of the piece that addresses your question:

The fund is down 27 percent this year -- "We're in a hundred-year storm," Norton admits -- but he's one in a choir of analysts who maintain that while all industries are suffering, the business fundamentals of vice remain strong and will rebound faster.
Posted On: Tuesday, Oct. 28 2008 @ 11:16AM
Trey Garrison says:

I think he's talking out his ass. The best years were two stellar stock market years.

And with Obama pretty much inevitable, I don't see a great future for defense and aerospace stocks, at least for four-eight years.

Tobacco is a safe haven, but it's not immune from regulation. And you can bank on some kind of nationwide smoking ban by the end of the next decade.

Booze stocks do better in up markets, IMHO, because people turn to the more expensive and frou frou labels. Again, booze is a safe haven in down markets, but we're already in a down market, so you're not gaining, you're parking your money.

Again, don't get me wrong. Philosophically I love VICEX, and I'm counting on them having gains in the long run. But if you're investing with an eye towards the immediate down market, you're wasting your time.

IMHO.

Posted On: Tuesday, Oct. 28 2008 @ 11:22AM
Robert Wilonsky says:

Which is totally why I'm now investing in all of Jessica Simpson's film projects.

Posted On: Tuesday, Oct. 28 2008 @ 11:24AM

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